Recent blog entries
Should I update my priors on partisanship & trust in industry vs. university scientists? By how much & in what direction?!
What can we *really* conclude from the GSS's 2010 item on the risk of GM/GE crops? An expert weighs in
More GM food risk data to chew on--compliments of GSS
More GSS "science attitudes" measures & their effect on perception of GM crop risks
Trust in science & perceptions of GM food risks -- does the GSS have something to say on this?
Check it out-- a matchmaking sight for scholarly collaborators!
Potential Zika polarization in pictures
The trust-in-science *particularity thesis* ... a fragment
Some more canned data on religiosity & science attitudes
Nice LRs! Communicating climate change "causation"
Mistrust or motivated misperception of scientific consensus? Talk today at NAS
Only in the Liberal Republic of Science . . . religious individuals trust science more than organized religion!
Next week's talks
Here you go -- Science of Science Communication session 6 reading list
"Fake news"--enh. "Alternative Facts presidency"--watch out! (Talk summary & slides)
Politically biased information processing & the conjunction fallacy
Those of you waiting for Science of Science Communication Session 4 reading list & questions -- your wait is over!
To make real progress, the science of science communication must leave the lab (at least now and again)
Science of Science Communication seminar: Session 3 reading list
America's "alternative facts" on climate change
Aren't you curious to see the published version of "Science Curiosity and Political Information Processing"?!
WSMD? JA! Political outlooks & Ordinary Science Intelligence
Presentation jeopardy: here's the answer; what's the question?
Science of Science Communication seminar: Session 2 reading list
Synopses of upcoming talks
What's on tap for spring semester? "Science of Science Communication" seminar!
Donald Trump: Science Communication Environment Polluter-in-Chief
Roadtrip (1st for 2017): Moral repugnance in mkts at AASA/AEA
I still hate NHT!
Could use a little help from my friends: new working paper on disgust, GM food & childhood vaccine risk perceptions
Cultural cognition? Oy! What's a science journalist supposed to do?...
Still another metacognition question
Year in review for CCP research, including the conservation-of-perplexity principle
How about another meta-cognition quiz question?
Pathogen disgust & GM-food and vaccine-risk perceptions ... a fragment
Meta probabilistic thinking quiz...
Weekend reading list
Another paper crosses line from "in press" to "in print": Actively Open-minded Thinking & climate change polarization
Zika & culturally antagonistic memes -- now in print! Great stocking stuffer
Sufficient evidence of disgust-sensitivity & GM-food & vacciene risk perceptions ... a fragment
Sad news . . .
Weekend update: *This* is what scientific *dis*sensus looks like...
Weird ... does high disgust sensitivity mitigate political polarization??...
New NAS report on #scicomm
Gore's sequel -- good idea or bad?
Weekend update: birth announcement--twins (sort of) on politically motivated reasoning
Making science documentaries that matter in a culturally divided society (lecture summary plus slides)
Off to Stockholm to discuss the science of science filmmaking (& of course, "post truth")
Weekend update: Q & A at Nature
Is cultural cognition an instance of "bounded rationality"? A ten-yr debate
"They saw an election"-- my 2 cents on election result
Law & Cognition 2016, Session 7.5: probing the SSK data
Women for & against Trump: who sees what & why . . . .
Weekend Up(back)date: 3 theories of risk, 2 conceptions of emotion
Law & Cognition 2016, Sessions 6 & 7 recap: To bias or not to debias--that is the question about deliberation
Pew on Climate Polarization: Glimpses of cognitive dualism . . .
Weekend update: "Culturally Antagonistic Memes and the Zika Virus: An Experimental Test" now "in press"
Today's activity: read new Pew Report on climate change polarization
Et tu, AOT? Fracking freaks me out part 3
Law & Cognition 2016, Session 6: Reading list & questions
Weekend up(back)date: cultural cognition vs. Bayesian updating of scientific consensus
Modeling the incoherence of coherence based reasoning: report from Law & Cognition 2016
Compromise effects as motivated reasoning: report from Law & Cognition 2016
2 climate changes & "debating" them in the Presidential race
Science curiosity: who, why, what, & WTF (talk summary & slides)
Weekend update: "Note on Perverse Effect of Actively Open-minded Thinking" now "in press" in Resarch & Politics
On the complexity of Expressive Rationality
WSMD? JA! Cultural outlooks & science curiosity
More on (non)relationship between disgust & perceived risks of vaccines & GM foods
More on the rationality of (dis)belief in evolution
On the rationality of (dis)belief in evolution -- new paper
Does disgust drive anti-vax sentiment? Does't look like it to me . . . .
Leveraging science curiosity ... a fragment
Law & Cognition 2016, Session 3 reading list & q's
Does reliance on heuristic information processing predict religiosity? Yes, if one is a liberal, but not so much if one is a conservative . . .
Law & Cognition 2016, Session 2 recap: Models--a start
Law & Cognition 2016, Session 2 reading list & q's
Law & Cognition 2016, Session 1 recap: Whence the Likelihood Ratio?
Law & Cognition 2016: On-line seminar
Protecting the Vaccine Science Communication Environment (new paper)
Let me at 'em -- again! SCS returns to the cage to whup on CRT & evolution belief...
So is AOT measuring AOT? I think so; the steel cage results don't necessarily imply otherwise
Still another cognitive-style steel cage match: CRT vs. AOT go "head to head" on belief in climate change & belief in evolution
New NAS Report on Science Literacy, Cultural Values & Political Conflict on Policy-relevant Facts
SCS vs. AOT ... latest "politically motivated reasoning steel cage match"
Does "Actively Open Minded Thinking" Aggravate Political Polarization on Climate Change? Looks like it . . . (New paper)
SCS vs. CRT: Another politically motivated reasoning steel cage match!
Cultural cognition of weather: a cool (or warm) guest post!
Science curiosity vs. politically motivated reasoning: An experimental steel cage match!
Science curiosity & politically biased information processing--the (inevitable!) OCTUSW response
Science curiosity & climate change (de)polarization (new paper)
"Mirror mirror on the wall ... who is the most partisan of all?!" MAPKIA Episode No. 978!
What is the relationship between science curiosity & science comprehension? A fragment . . .
What antagonistic memes look like: the case of the HPV Vaccine
What antagonistic memes look like: the case of the Zika virus
New paper: Zika risk perceptions & culturally antagonistic memes!
Weekend update: Could Trump really win? What people do & don't *fear* says, "sure, why not?"
Why don't we have more gun control given that there is such overwhelming bipartisan public consensus in favor of that policy? WEKS strikes again . . .
Travel report: Has liberal democracy lost its power to motivate?
Weekend update: Scarier than Nanotechnology? Episode # 532
The "Science Communication Problem": Two (of four) false starts
Travel report: Is even the vote (not to mention all the voting) on Brexit irrational?...
Travel report: On unpolluted & polluted public health science communcation environments--the cases of the HBV & HPV vaccines (presentation summary & slides)
The fourth of "four theses on ordinary science intelligence" ... a fragment
Two of "Four Theses on Ordinary Science Knowledge" . . . a fragment
On the Sources of Ordinary Science Knowledge and Ignorance (new paper)
Slovic elected to NAS!!
Cognitive dualism and beliefs as "dispositions to action" ... a fragment
What does "believing/disbelieving in" add to what one knows is known by science? ... a fragment
"According to climate scientists ..." -- WTF?! (presentation summary, slides)
"Repugnance" & reasoned deciscionmaking ... a fragment
Can you spot which "study" result supports the "gateway belief model" and which doesn't? Not if you use a misspecified structural equation model . . .
Serious problems with "the strongest evidence to date" on consensus messaging ...
Job opening for social-science editor at Nature!
WSMD? JA! "Confidence intervals" for "Political Polarization Literacy" test
In awe of the Industrial Strength Risk Perception Measure. . . .
Hey everybody -- take the cool CCP/APPC "Political Polarization Literacy" test!
Raw data: the best safeguard against empirical bull shit!
Bounded rationality, unbounded out-group hate
Hey, everyone! Try your hand at graphic reporting and see if you can win the Gelman Cup!
Another “Scraredy-cat risk disposition”™ scale "booster shot": Childhood vaccine risk perceptions
Scientists discover source of public controversy on GM food risks: bitter cultural division between scaredy cats and everyone else!
New "strongest evidence yet" on consensus messaging!
First things first: the science of normal (nonpathological) science communication
"Now I'm here ... now I'm there ...": If you look, our dualistic identity-expressive/science-knowledge-acquiring selves go through only one slit
Weekend update: Priceless
Three pretty darn interesting things about identity-protective reasoning (lecture summary, slides)
Hey--want your own "OSI_2.0" dataset to play with? Here you go!
Weekend update: modeling the impact of the "according to climate scientists prefix" on identity-expressive vs. science-knowledge revealing responses to climate science literacy items
Toggling the switch between cognitive engagement with "America's two climate changes"--not so hard in *the lab*
"America's two climate changes ..." & how science communicators should/shouldn't address them ... today in Burlington, VT
Sad but grateful ... knowing Beth Garrett
Weekend update: Another lesson from SE Fla Climate Political Science, this one on "banning 'climate change' " from political discourse
"Monetary preference falsification": a thought experiment to test the validity of adding monetary incentives to politically motivated reasoning experiments
WSMD? JA! Are science-curious people just *too politically moderate* to polarize as they get better at comprehending science?
Motivating-disposition instrumentalism ... a fragment
WSMD? JA! Do science-curious people just not *know* enough about science to be "good at" identity-protective cognition?
Incentives and politically motivated reasoning: we can learn something but only if we don't fall into the " 'external validity' trap"
Weekend update: Disentanglement Principle, A Lesson from SE Fla Climate Political Science Lecture (& slides)
Science curiosity and identity-protective cognition ... a glimpse at a possible (negative) relationship
Believing as doing . . . evolution & climate change
America's two "climate changes"
Do science curious evolution believers and science curious nonbelievers both like to go to the science museum? How about to gun shows?
Plata's Republic: Justice Scalia and the subversive normality of politically motivated reasoning . . . .
Weekend update: I want this book -- right now! ...
Will people who are culturally predisposed to reject human-caused climate change *believe* "97% consensus" social marketing campaign messages? Nope.
C'mon down! Let's talk about culture, rationality & the tragedy of the #scicomm commons today at Mizzou
"They already got the memo" part 2: More data on the *public consensus* on what "climate scientists think" about human-caused global warming
As their science comprehension increases, do members of the public (a) become more likely to recognize scientific consensus exists on human-caused climate change; (b) become more politically polarized on whether human-caused climate change is happening; or (c) both?!
Is the controversy over climate change a "science communication problem?" Jon Miller's views & mine too (postcard from NAS session on "science literacy & public attitudes toward science")
CCP/Annenberg PPC Science of Science Communication Lab, Session 2: Measuring relative curiosity
Is the HPV vaccine still politically "hot"? You tell me....
Weekend update: OMG-- we are now as politically polarized over cell phone radiation as over GM food risks!!!
Status report on temporary CCP Lab relocation
"I'm going to Jackson, I'm gonna mess around... " Well, Philly, actually
"Evidence-based Science Filmmaking Initiative," Rep. No. 1: Overview & Conclusions
"SCS_1.0": Measuring science curiosity
The (non)relationship between "believing in" evolution and being engaged by evolutionary science
It's here: Annenberg/CCP "Evidence-based Science Filmmaking Initiative"
Weekend update: the anti- "fact inventory conception of science literacy" movement is gaining ground on Tea Party & Trascism [Trump+Fascism]; to eclipse them, only thing it needs is a catchier name!
Prepare yourself ... CCP's Evidence-based Science Filmmaking Initiative
Still time to get your "entry" in for MAPKIA #939! But hurry!
Join the SBST Team: Neither nudge nor shove will stop us from improving your life (whether you are aware of it or not) in 2016 & beyond!
MAPKIA episode #939: What does the Pew "Malthusian Worldview" item predict?!
"Enough already" vs. "can I have some more, pls": science comprehension & cultural polarization
"Don't jump"--weekend reading: Do judges, loan officers, and baseball umpires suffer from the "gambler's fallacy"?
Critical, must-do 2016 CCP NY resolutions!
Coolest article of the yr-- hot hands down!
Mining even more insight from the Pew "public science knowledge/attitudes" data--but hoping for even better extraction equipment (fracking technology, maybe?) in 2016...
Replicate "Climate-Science Communication Measurement Problem"? No sweat (despite hottest yr on record), thanks to Pew Research Center!
Two theories of "values," "identity" & "politically motivated reasoning"
The "asymmetry thesis": another PMRP issue that won't go away
Weekend update: "Color" preprint of " 'Ideology' vs. 'Situation Sense' "!
Solving 2 nasty confounds: The "Politically Motivated Reasoning Paradigm [PMRP] Design"
Testing for "politically motivated reasoning": 2 nasty confounds
New paper: "The Politically Motivated Reasoning Paradigm"
"*Scientists* & identity-protective cognition? Well, on the one hand ... on the other hand ... on the *other* other hand ..." A fragment
Disentanglement principle corollary no. 16a: "You don't have to choose ... between being a reality tv star & being excited to learn what science knows (including what it knows about how people come to know what's known by science)"
"Hey Joe": "Practical scholarship" on climate "science communication"
Mine goes to 11 ... or 10, at least, for now
Cultural "fact polarization" trumps cultural "value" polarization -- a fragment
Weekend update: Is critical reasoning domain independent or domain specific?... a fragment of an incomplete rumination
"Inherent internal contradictions" don't cause bad institutions to collapse; they just suck ... "Rules of evidence are impossible," part 3 (another report for Law & Cognition seminar)
Check out wild & crazy "coherence based reasoning"! Are rules of evidence "impossible"?, part 2 (another report from Law & Cognition seminar)m
Report from "Law & Cognition" class: Are “rules of evidence impossible”? Part 1
My remote post-it notes for my HLS African-American teachers
ISO: A reliable & valid public "science literacy" measure
The "living shorelines" science communication problem: individual cognition situated in collective action
CCP Lab Meeting # 9073 ...
Another day, another lecture
Making sense of the " 'hot hand fallacy' fallacy," part 1
Weekend update: talking it up & listening too
On the road *again*...
What's the deal w/ Norwegian public opinion on climate change?? What's the deal with ours?
Is there diminishing utility in the consumption of the science of science communication?
Can I make you curious about science curiosity? . . .
Coming soon ... the Science Curiosity Index/Ludwick Quotient
New paper: Expressive rationality & misperception of facts
"I was wrong?! Coooooooooool!"
Why do we seem to agree less & less as we learn more & more-- and what should we do about that?
Am I doing the right thing? . . . The “chick-sexing” disanalogy
How big a difference in mean CRT scores is "big enough" to matter? or NHT: A malignant craft norm, part 2
Is the unreal at least *sometimes* rational and the rational at least *sometimes* unreal?
NHT: A malignant craft norm, part 1
Resolved: System 2 should be abolished!
Weekend update: What is this "science of science communication" thing?
Are people more conservative when “primed for reflection” or when “primed for intuition”? Apparently both . . . . (or CRT & identity-protective reasoning Part 2^8)
Weekend update: Who really did write the CRT-evolution paper then?
So we know we can't defeat entropy; but what about overplotting????
Cognitive reflection and "belief in" evolution: critically engaging the evidence
The science of science documentary filmmaking: the missing audience hypothesis
Perplexed--once more--by "emotions in criminal law," Part 3: Motivated reasoning & the evaluative conception
Fall seminar: Law & Cognition
Vaccine hesitancy, acupuncture mania, and the methodological challenge of making senses of "boutique risk-benefit perceptions" (BRBPs)
*Now* what do alternative sanctions mean? And how'd I miss the memo?
Cognitive dualism as an adaptive resource in a polluted science communication environment ... a fragment
Weekend update: going to SENCER summer camp to learn about the "self-measurement paradox," the "science communication problem," & the "disentanglement project"
On "best practices," "how to" manuals, and *genuinely* evidence-based science communication
Perplexed--once more--by "emotions in criminal law," Part 2: The "evaluative conception"
Perplexed--once more--by "emotions in criminal law": Part 1
Changing my mind on "emotions in criminal law"
Weekend update: Still fooled by non-randomness? Some gadgets to help you *see* the " 'hot hand' fallacy" fallacy
Two threats to the public-health good of childhood vaccines ... a fragment
Holy smokes! The "'hot-hand fallacy' fallacy"!
Three points about "believing in" evolution ... a travel report
In Montreal, asking philosophers (& others) to help make sense of Pakistani Drs & Kentucky Farmers
Ambivalence about "messaging"
For the 10^6 time: GM foods is *not* polarizing issue in the U.S., plus an initial note on Pew's latest analysis of its "public-vs.-scientists" survey
Two publics, two modes of reasoning, two forms of information in science communication: a fragment . . .
Self-deception at L'université Toulouse: an encore!
On the provisionality & conjectural status of claims about Pakistani Drs & Kentucky Farmers
Travel report: Self-deception at L'université Toulouse
MAPKIA #73 part IV: Revenge of the disgust skeptics! Does *disgust* really play any role in vaccine & GM-food risk perceptions?
MAPKIA! episode 73 sequel: Scholars who genuinely know something explain disgust's contribution to vaccine & GM food risk perceptions
"Politically Motivated Reasoning Paradigm" (PMRP): what it is, how to measure it
*See* "cognitive reflection" *magnify* (ideologically symmetric) motivated reasoning ... (not for faint of heart)
Against "consensus messaging" . . .
A Pigovian tax solution (for now) for review/publication of studies that use M Turk samples
Back in the US ... back in the US ... back in the US of Societal Risk conflict
MAPKIA! Episode #73 Results: Stunning lack of any meaningful relationship between vaccine- and GM-food-risk perceptions earns @Mw record-breaking 5th straight MAPKIA! title!
Build it & they will model ... the CCP data playground concept
Weekend update: In quest of 3d graphic for risk perception distributions
APS conference panels: What should I talk about? I can't decide!
MAPKIA! Episode #73: half-time update!
MAPKIA! Episode #73: What is the meaning, if any, of the correlation between vaccine- and GM-food-risk perceptions?!
"Politics & Science Webinar" Q&A: vaccine- & GM food-risk perceptions
Want to represent Kentucky Farmer in Congress? Well then you better learn to keep track of which "climate changes" he "believes in" and which he "doesn't"!
Two remarkably different Jewish intellectuals & their two very different formulations of the "Jewish Question"
Science of Science Communication as "evidence based politics"--a fragment . . .
Another country heard from: more data on impact of 'expert judgment' in insulating judges from popular information-processing biases
The "judicial behavior" measurement problem: What does it *mean* to say that "ideology" explains judicial decisions?
Fun webinar event on politicization of science-- c'mon, sign up!
If you think local action focused on adaptation is not the path for promoting engagement with climate-change policymaking at the national level, you are wrong. So wrong.
We are *all* Pakistani Drs/Kentucky Farmers, Part 2: Kant's perspective(s)
We are *all* Pakistani Drs/Kentucky Farmers, Part 1: Manny's perspective(s)
Science of Science Communication 2.0, Session 11.2: Wilner questions "consensus messaging" pedagogy for climate-science education along with her own previous views on teaching students to "believe in," not just comprehend, evolution...
The law's "neutrality communication problem"
Revisiting "cultural cognition as a conception of the cultural theory of risk"
*Look* at my data: Graphic data postcards from " 'Ideology' or 'Situation Sense' "
The making of a Pakistani Veterinarian in Kentucky: cognitive apartheid vs. cognitive dualism
Special feature: Insights on S. Ct. prediction models from someone who knows what he is talking about
Univ. of Colorado deja vu! (sort of): c'mon down & hear about what the "science of science communication" has to say about the "science communication problem"
A question to be answered at the very beginning of an "acceptance of evolution" research program
Science of Science Communication 2.0, Session 14: science documentaries!!!!
"Cognitive dualism" research program: a fragment ...
Weekend update: Science of Science Communication 2.0 -- Tamar Wilner confronts the "belief-comprehension" question in teaching evolutionary science
Science of Science Communication 2.0, Session 12: science journalism!
Using likelihood ratios -- not pee values -- to weigh the evidence on judges & motivated reasoning
Why it is a *mistake* to draw inferences about the (in domain) reasoning of experts from studies of motivated reasoning on the part of the general public
So are humans very good at designing computer programs to predict Supreme Court decisions? You tell me!
"It's Hayek ... wait; it's Honey Boo Boo ... no, it's ... wtf!": cultural cognition "black-blue dress/Einstein-Monroe" worldview assessment tool!
Weekend update: "Communicating normality"--a fragment
C'mon down! Talking about judges, climate scientists & motivated reasoning today at U. Colo.
"They saw a statutory ambiguity"--judges & motivated reasoning
Science of Science Communication 2.0, Session 11.1: Teaching science in a polluted science communication environment, part 2 -- Climate
Are judges politically biased? New paper, new study, new methods, new body piercings--new new new!
Weekend update: Science of Science Communication 2.0 -- anticipating synthetic biology
Pakistani Dr & Kentucky Farmer cause uprising of agitated reflection at Annenberg Center!
Science of Science Communication 2.0, Session 10.1: Teaching science in a polluted science communication environment, part I -- Evolution
On self-deception & motivated reasoning: Who is fooling whom?
"You -- talking to me? Are *you* talking to *me?" Actually, no, I'm not; the data don't tell us how any individual thinks (or that your side is either "biased" or "right").
Science of Science Communication 2.0, Session 9.1: Emerging technologies part II -- synthetic biology!
Professional judgment--in risk perception & in law: Dual process reasoning and science communication part 3...
What can we learn from (a) studying public perceptions of the risks of technologies the public hasn't heard of & (b) studying studies that do that?
Is "shaming" an effective way to counteract biased information processing? A preliminary investigation