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Monday
Jun262017

Now "in press": the Gateway Belief Illusion . . .

Coming soon to a newstand near you . . . .

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Reader Comments (10)

Dan,

OK - so I went and found this: https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/how-to-combat-distrust-of-science/

Obviously, it's mostly based on the VLFM study you take down in your article. But, Lewandowsky is a coauthor. The dates are significant - the SciAm article is 4/28/2015, while Cook & Lewandowsky first submitted their "Rational Irrationality" paper on 3/27/2015.

I don't know how long it takes to go from submitting an article for SciAm to getting it published. But, I would assume Lewandowsky had some knowledge of his results well before 3/27/2015 - should he have done something with the SciAm article - added caveats or perhaps retracted his coauthorship?

What do you think?

June 26, 2017 | Unregistered CommenterJonathan

@Jonathan-- I have no idea what Lewandowsky was thinking in that regard. I don't believe necessarily that he should have refused to co-author. But maybe you should write him & ask? Then report back?
I know that he was publicly acknowledging the "backfire" effect in summer of 2015.
Realize, too, that he doesn't think there is a "backfire" effect in Australia, where he had also conducted a "97%" study

June 26, 2017 | Registered CommenterDan Kahan

Dan,

So.... CC/backfire is the inconvenient truth, you're Gore, Lewandowsky is Frank Lucas, and van der Linden is James Inhofe and the VLFM paper is the snowball? And Wood&Porter is the warming "pause"?

History is no longer satisfied with just repeating itself, so it's forming a fractal.

June 26, 2017 | Unregistered CommenterJonathan

@Jonathan-- I'm better looking than Gore (at least for now)

June 27, 2017 | Registered CommenterDan Kahan

Jonathan -

Related to the nature of humans as truth-seekers:

https://amp.theguardian.com/books/2017/may/19/post-truth-matthew-dancona-evan-davis-reiews

June 27, 2017 | Unregistered CommenterJoshua

There's also this:

http://www.npr.org/programs/ted-radio-hour/533783169/truth-and-lies

June 27, 2017 | Unregistered CommenterJoshua

Joshua,

"Related to the nature of humans as truth-seekers:" - well, thinly so.

On the truth-seeker subject, am reading these now:
dx.doi.org/10.1037/pspp0000018
dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.copsyc.2015.07.016

June 27, 2017 | Unregistered CommenterJonathan

Jonathan -

=={ well, thinly so. }==

Well, just to be clear, I wasn't endorsing the thickness of the article...but I do think that the article, along with the two books reviewed in the article, does open a window into the public discussion of the issues at hand.

REALLY liked the Friesen et al. It speaks very directly to my observations of these issues - in particular my opinion that there is a lot of cross-over between "motivation" to find truth and the motivation to be "right." They are directly related goals, but there are also some important distinctions.

And this, also.. "...and political partisans construe political issues as more unfalsifiable (“moral opinion”) instead of falsifiable (“a matter of facts”; " jibes with my observations that people's views on the "morality" and "values" on issues can be quite variable, depending on how the context changes. That is why I think there is some limitation to trying to study how reasoning overlaps with "values" (such as people do when they use a taxonomy based on "values" such as "hierarchical-individualist," as I find that people's degree of individualism or hierarchicalism? can be quite context-dependent.

June 29, 2017 | Unregistered CommenterJoshua

Regarding "moral opinions" and falsifiability....

Check this out at about 2:45 minutes in:

http://www.nbcnews.com/video/the-economist-looks-at-the-us-in-the-trump-era-979186755779

About 30% of the people who voted in the last presidential election, couldn't reliably place Pubs and Dems on a spectrum of fundamental issues such as more services versus less spending.

"It's more about identity than it is about policy...."

As pointed out in the interview, Trump told us that could shoot someone on 5th avenue and still remain popular with his voters.... What does that tell us about the relationship among "moral opinions," identity, reasoning, and truth seeking?

June 29, 2017 | Unregistered CommenterJoshua

Oh - and falsifiability.

June 29, 2017 | Unregistered CommenterJoshua

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