follow CCP

Recent blog entries
popular papers

Science Curiosity and Political Information Processing

What Is the "Science of Science Communication"?

Climate-Science Communication and the Measurement Problem

Ideology, Motivated Cognition, and Cognitive Reflection: An Experimental Study

'Ideology' or 'Situation Sense'? An Experimental Investigation of Motivated Reasoning and Professional Judgment

A Risky Science Communication Environment for Vaccines

Motivated Numeracy and Enlightened Self-Government

Making Climate Science Communication Evidence-based—All the Way Down 

Neutral Principles, Motivated Cognition, and Some Problems for Constitutional Law 

Cultural Cognition of Scientific Consensus
 

The Tragedy of the Risk-Perception Commons: Science Literacy and Climate Change

"They Saw a Protest": Cognitive Illiberalism and the Speech-Conduct Distinction 

Geoengineering and the Science Communication Environment: a Cross-Cultural Experiment

Fixing the Communications Failure

Why We Are Poles Apart on Climate Change

The Cognitively Illiberal State 

Who Fears the HPV Vaccine, Who Doesn't, and Why? An Experimental Study

Cultural Cognition of the Risks and Benefits of Nanotechnology

Whose Eyes Are You Going to Believe? An Empirical Examination of Scott v. Harris

Cultural Cognition and Public Policy

Culture, Cognition, and Consent: Who Perceives What, and Why, in "Acquaintance Rape" Cases

Culture and Identity-Protective Cognition: Explaining the White Male Effect

Fear of Democracy: A Cultural Evaluation of Sunstein on Risk

Cultural Cognition as a Conception of the Cultural Theory of Risk

« Practicing what I teach -- or giving it the old college try . . . | Main | Interesting talk coming up today -- populist modes of presidential nomination & ascension of fascist populism »
Wednesday
Apr182018

My visit to the John Jost Lab at NYU--comment/question interludes plus a tiny portion of asymmetry

One of the really fun things I did recently was to give a presentation to John Jost's lab at NYU.

My talk was similar to one I've been doing recently on the respective roles of "science comprehension" and "science curiosity" as "epistemic virtues" in a democratic society (slides here).

The one innovation in the presentation was the introduction of the designated "comment/question interludes":

 

This is a good device, I think, where the workshop uses an "interactive" format that allows questions throughout the talk. I don't like that format much. The continuous, self-propagating flow of queries can easily wreck the organization of the speaker's remarks and block him or her from even reaching the most important material (economics workshops are infamous for this).

But sprinkled abundantly and strategically through the presentation, and announced at the start of the talk, the "interludes" kept the show going in a basically linear direction and at an appropriately brisk speed.

Or at least so it seemed!

As you likely gathered, the talk was not about the "asymmetry thesis."  

Nevertheless, the issue came up a few times, mainly in relation to slides like these:

 

 

 

These pdd's were derived from logistic regression models that had left_right political orientations & (in the case of the "Motivated Numeracy") appropriate cross-product interaction terms. 

I used to believe that models such as those aren't appropriate for testing the "asymmetry thesis," b/c they assume a "linear" impact for right/left political outlooks in log-transformed space.

But now I'm less sure, in part b/c of papers that convincingly contend that non-linear regression models (e.g., logistic & ordered logistic), & in particular ones that include cross-product interaction terms, support inferences about real-world non-linearities once the log-transformed values are transformed back into predicted probabilities.  Indeed, the papers in question insist that such re-transformations, accompanied w/ appropriate graphic illustrations, are the only thing that support such inferences--the regression coefficients in such models are not informative on their own (Karaca‐Mandic, Norton, & Dowd, 2012; Ai & Norton, 2003; Greene, 2010; Powers, 2005; Mitchell & Chen, 2005)....

Gratifyingly, this point was not lost on the workshop audience, all of whose members, Jost included, recognized that determining which methods to use to investigate asserted "asymmetries" in politically motivated reasoning is a complicated issue.

Face-to-face can often generate progress that dueling studies elide.... And vice versa!

References

Ai, C. & Norton, E.C. Interaction terms in logit and probit models. Econ Lett 80, 123-129 (2003).

Greene, W. Testing hypotheses about interaction terms in nonlinear models. Econ Lett 107, 291-296 (2010).

Karaca‐Mandic, P., Norton, E.C. & Dowd, B. Interaction terms in nonlinear models. Health services research 47, 255-274 (2012).

Mitchell, M.N. & Chen, X. Visualizing main effects and interactions for binary logit models. Stata Journal 5, 64-82 (2005).

Powers, E.A. Interpreting logit regressions with interaction terms: an application to the management turnover literature. Journal of Corporate Finance 11, 504-522 (2005).

PrintView Printer Friendly Version

EmailEmail Article to Friend

Reader Comments (1)

link drop:
https://www.businessinsider.com/psychological-differences-between-conservatives-and-liberals-2018-2

April 19, 2018 | Unregistered CommenterJonathan

PostPost a New Comment

Enter your information below to add a new comment.

My response is on my own website »
Author Email (optional):
Author URL (optional):
Post:
 
Some HTML allowed: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <code> <em> <i> <strike> <strong>