Recent blog entries
Synopses of upcoming talks
What's on tap for spring semester? "Science of Science Communication" seminar!
Donald Trump: Science Communication Environment Polluter-in-Chief
Roadtrip (1st for 2017): Moral repugnance in mkts at AASA/AEA
I still hate NHT!
Could use a little help from my friends: new working paper on disgust, GM food & childhood vaccine risk perceptions
Cultural cognition? Oy! What's a science journalist supposed to do?...
Still another metacognition question
Year in review for CCP research, including the conservation-of-perplexity principle
How about another meta-cognition quiz question?
Pathogen disgust & GM-food and vaccine-risk perceptions ... a fragment
Meta probabilistic thinking quiz...
Weekend reading list
Another paper crosses line from "in press" to "in print": Actively Open-minded Thinking & climate change polarization
Zika & culturally antagonistic memes -- now in print! Great stocking stuffer
Sufficient evidence of disgust-sensitivity & GM-food & vacciene risk perceptions ... a fragment
Sad news . . .
Weekend update: *This* is what scientific *dis*sensus looks like...
Weird ... does high disgust sensitivity mitigate political polarization??...
New NAS report on #scicomm
Gore's sequel -- good idea or bad?
Weekend update: birth announcement--twins (sort of) on politically motivated reasoning
Making science documentaries that matter in a culturally divided society (lecture summary plus slides)
Off to Stockholm to discuss the science of science filmmaking (& of course, "post truth")
Weekend update: Q & A at Nature
Is cultural cognition an instance of "bounded rationality"? A ten-yr debate
"They saw an election"-- my 2 cents on election result
Law & Cognition 2016, Session 7.5: probing the SSK data
Women for & against Trump: who sees what & why . . . .
Weekend Up(back)date: 3 theories of risk, 2 conceptions of emotion
Law & Cognition 2016, Sessions 6 & 7 recap: To bias or not to debias--that is the question about deliberation
Pew on Climate Polarization: Glimpses of cognitive dualism . . .
Weekend update: "Culturally Antagonistic Memes and the Zika Virus: An Experimental Test" now "in press"
Today's activity: read new Pew Report on climate change polarization
Et tu, AOT? Fracking freaks me out part 3
Law & Cognition 2016, Session 6: Reading list & questions
Weekend up(back)date: cultural cognition vs. Bayesian updating of scientific consensus
Modeling the incoherence of coherence based reasoning: report from Law & Cognition 2016
Compromise effects as motivated reasoning: report from Law & Cognition 2016
2 climate changes & "debating" them in the Presidential race
Science curiosity: who, why, what, & WTF (talk summary & slides)
Weekend update: "Note on Perverse Effect of Actively Open-minded Thinking" now "in press" in Resarch & Politics
On the complexity of Expressive Rationality
WSMD? JA! Cultural outlooks & science curiosity
More on (non)relationship between disgust & perceived risks of vaccines & GM foods
More on the rationality of (dis)belief in evolution
On the rationality of (dis)belief in evolution -- new paper
Does disgust drive anti-vax sentiment? Does't look like it to me . . . .
Leveraging science curiosity ... a fragment
Law & Cognition 2016, Session 3 reading list & q's
Does reliance on heuristic information processing predict religiosity? Yes, if one is a liberal, but not so much if one is a conservative . . .
Law & Cognition 2016, Session 2 recap: Models--a start
Law & Cognition 2016, Session 2 reading list & q's
Law & Cognition 2016, Session 1 recap: Whence the Likelihood Ratio?
Law & Cognition 2016: On-line seminar
Protecting the Vaccine Science Communication Environment (new paper)
Let me at 'em -- again! SCS returns to the cage to whup on CRT & evolution belief...
So is AOT measuring AOT? I think so; the steel cage results don't necessarily imply otherwise
Still another cognitive-style steel cage match: CRT vs. AOT go "head to head" on belief in climate change & belief in evolution
New NAS Report on Science Literacy, Cultural Values & Political Conflict on Policy-relevant Facts
SCS vs. AOT ... latest "politically motivated reasoning steel cage match"
Does "Actively Open Minded Thinking" Aggravate Political Polarization on Climate Change? Looks like it . . . (New paper)
SCS vs. CRT: Another politically motivated reasoning steel cage match!
Cultural cognition of weather: a cool (or warm) guest post!
Science curiosity vs. politically motivated reasoning: An experimental steel cage match!
Science curiosity & politically biased information processing--the (inevitable!) OCTUSW response
Science curiosity & climate change (de)polarization (new paper)
"Mirror mirror on the wall ... who is the most partisan of all?!" MAPKIA Episode No. 978!
What is the relationship between science curiosity & science comprehension? A fragment . . .
What antagonistic memes look like: the case of the HPV Vaccine
What antagonistic memes look like: the case of the Zika virus
New paper: Zika risk perceptions & culturally antagonistic memes!
Weekend update: Could Trump really win? What people do & don't *fear* says, "sure, why not?"
Why don't we have more gun control given that there is such overwhelming bipartisan public consensus in favor of that policy? WEKS strikes again . . .
Travel report: Has liberal democracy lost its power to motivate?
Weekend update: Scarier than Nanotechnology? Episode # 532
The "Science Communication Problem": Two (of four) false starts
Travel report: Is even the vote (not to mention all the voting) on Brexit irrational?...
Travel report: On unpolluted & polluted public health science communcation environments--the cases of the HBV & HPV vaccines (presentation summary & slides)
The fourth of "four theses on ordinary science intelligence" ... a fragment
Two of "Four Theses on Ordinary Science Knowledge" . . . a fragment
On the Sources of Ordinary Science Knowledge and Ignorance (new paper)
Slovic elected to NAS!!
Cognitive dualism and beliefs as "dispositions to action" ... a fragment
What does "believing/disbelieving in" add to what one knows is known by science? ... a fragment
"According to climate scientists ..." -- WTF?! (presentation summary, slides)
"Repugnance" & reasoned deciscionmaking ... a fragment
Can you spot which "study" result supports the "gateway belief model" and which doesn't? Not if you use a misspecified structural equation model . . .
Serious problems with "the strongest evidence to date" on consensus messaging ...
Job opening for social-science editor at Nature!
WSMD? JA! "Confidence intervals" for "Political Polarization Literacy" test
In awe of the Industrial Strength Risk Perception Measure. . . .
Hey everybody -- take the cool CCP/APPC "Political Polarization Literacy" test!
Raw data: the best safeguard against empirical bull shit!
Bounded rationality, unbounded out-group hate
Hey, everyone! Try your hand at graphic reporting and see if you can win the Gelman Cup!
Another “Scraredy-cat risk disposition”™ scale "booster shot": Childhood vaccine risk perceptions
Scientists discover source of public controversy on GM food risks: bitter cultural division between scaredy cats and everyone else!
New "strongest evidence yet" on consensus messaging!
First things first: the science of normal (nonpathological) science communication
"Now I'm here ... now I'm there ...": If you look, our dualistic identity-expressive/science-knowledge-acquiring selves go through only one slit
Weekend update: Priceless
Three pretty darn interesting things about identity-protective reasoning (lecture summary, slides)
Hey--want your own "OSI_2.0" dataset to play with? Here you go!
Weekend update: modeling the impact of the "according to climate scientists prefix" on identity-expressive vs. science-knowledge revealing responses to climate science literacy items
Toggling the switch between cognitive engagement with "America's two climate changes"--not so hard in *the lab*
"America's two climate changes ..." & how science communicators should/shouldn't address them ... today in Burlington, VT
Sad but grateful ... knowing Beth Garrett
Weekend update: Another lesson from SE Fla Climate Political Science, this one on "banning 'climate change' " from political discourse
"Monetary preference falsification": a thought experiment to test the validity of adding monetary incentives to politically motivated reasoning experiments
WSMD? JA! Are science-curious people just *too politically moderate* to polarize as they get better at comprehending science?
Motivating-disposition instrumentalism ... a fragment
WSMD? JA! Do science-curious people just not *know* enough about science to be "good at" identity-protective cognition?
Incentives and politically motivated reasoning: we can learn something but only if we don't fall into the " 'external validity' trap"
Weekend update: Disentanglement Principle, A Lesson from SE Fla Climate Political Science Lecture (& slides)
Science curiosity and identity-protective cognition ... a glimpse at a possible (negative) relationship
Believing as doing . . . evolution & climate change
America's two "climate changes"
Do science curious evolution believers and science curious nonbelievers both like to go to the science museum? How about to gun shows?
Plata's Republic: Justice Scalia and the subversive normality of politically motivated reasoning . . . .
Weekend update: I want this book -- right now! ...
Will people who are culturally predisposed to reject human-caused climate change *believe* "97% consensus" social marketing campaign messages? Nope.
C'mon down! Let's talk about culture, rationality & the tragedy of the #scicomm commons today at Mizzou
"They already got the memo" part 2: More data on the *public consensus* on what "climate scientists think" about human-caused global warming
As their science comprehension increases, do members of the public (a) become more likely to recognize scientific consensus exists on human-caused climate change; (b) become more politically polarized on whether human-caused climate change is happening; or (c) both?!
Is the controversy over climate change a "science communication problem?" Jon Miller's views & mine too (postcard from NAS session on "science literacy & public attitudes toward science")
CCP/Annenberg PPC Science of Science Communication Lab, Session 2: Measuring relative curiosity
Is the HPV vaccine still politically "hot"? You tell me....
Weekend update: OMG-- we are now as politically polarized over cell phone radiation as over GM food risks!!!
Status report on temporary CCP Lab relocation
"I'm going to Jackson, I'm gonna mess around... " Well, Philly, actually
"Evidence-based Science Filmmaking Initiative," Rep. No. 1: Overview & Conclusions
"SCS_1.0": Measuring science curiosity
The (non)relationship between "believing in" evolution and being engaged by evolutionary science
It's here: Annenberg/CCP "Evidence-based Science Filmmaking Initiative"
Weekend update: the anti- "fact inventory conception of science literacy" movement is gaining ground on Tea Party & Trascism [Trump+Fascism]; to eclipse them, only thing it needs is a catchier name!
Prepare yourself ... CCP's Evidence-based Science Filmmaking Initiative
Still time to get your "entry" in for MAPKIA #939! But hurry!
Join the SBST Team: Neither nudge nor shove will stop us from improving your life (whether you are aware of it or not) in 2016 & beyond!
MAPKIA episode #939: What does the Pew "Malthusian Worldview" item predict?!
"Enough already" vs. "can I have some more, pls": science comprehension & cultural polarization
"Don't jump"--weekend reading: Do judges, loan officers, and baseball umpires suffer from the "gambler's fallacy"?
Critical, must-do 2016 CCP NY resolutions!
Coolest article of the yr-- hot hands down!
Mining even more insight from the Pew "public science knowledge/attitudes" data--but hoping for even better extraction equipment (fracking technology, maybe?) in 2016...
Replicate "Climate-Science Communication Measurement Problem"? No sweat (despite hottest yr on record), thanks to Pew Research Center!
Two theories of "values," "identity" & "politically motivated reasoning"
The "asymmetry thesis": another PMRP issue that won't go away
Weekend update: "Color" preprint of " 'Ideology' vs. 'Situation Sense' "!
Solving 2 nasty confounds: The "Politically Motivated Reasoning Paradigm [PMRP] Design"
Testing for "politically motivated reasoning": 2 nasty confounds
New paper: "The Politically Motivated Reasoning Paradigm"
"*Scientists* & identity-protective cognition? Well, on the one hand ... on the other hand ... on the *other* other hand ..." A fragment
Disentanglement principle corollary no. 16a: "You don't have to choose ... between being a reality tv star & being excited to learn what science knows (including what it knows about how people come to know what's known by science)"
"Hey Joe": "Practical scholarship" on climate "science communication"
Mine goes to 11 ... or 10, at least, for now
Cultural "fact polarization" trumps cultural "value" polarization -- a fragment
Weekend update: Is critical reasoning domain independent or domain specific?... a fragment of an incomplete rumination
"Inherent internal contradictions" don't cause bad institutions to collapse; they just suck ... "Rules of evidence are impossible," part 3 (another report for Law & Cognition seminar)
Check out wild & crazy "coherence based reasoning"! Are rules of evidence "impossible"?, part 2 (another report from Law & Cognition seminar)m
Report from "Law & Cognition" class: Are “rules of evidence impossible”? Part 1
My remote post-it notes for my HLS African-American teachers
ISO: A reliable & valid public "science literacy" measure
The "living shorelines" science communication problem: individual cognition situated in collective action
CCP Lab Meeting # 9073 ...
Another day, another lecture
Making sense of the " 'hot hand fallacy' fallacy," part 1
Weekend update: talking it up & listening too
On the road *again*...
What's the deal w/ Norwegian public opinion on climate change?? What's the deal with ours?
Is there diminishing utility in the consumption of the science of science communication?
Can I make you curious about science curiosity? . . .
Coming soon ... the Science Curiosity Index/Ludwick Quotient
New paper: Expressive rationality & misperception of facts
"I was wrong?! Coooooooooool!"
Why do we seem to agree less & less as we learn more & more-- and what should we do about that?
Am I doing the right thing? . . . The “chick-sexing” disanalogy
How big a difference in mean CRT scores is "big enough" to matter? or NHT: A malignant craft norm, part 2
Is the unreal at least *sometimes* rational and the rational at least *sometimes* unreal?
NHT: A malignant craft norm, part 1
Resolved: System 2 should be abolished!
Weekend update: What is this "science of science communication" thing?
Are people more conservative when “primed for reflection” or when “primed for intuition”? Apparently both . . . . (or CRT & identity-protective reasoning Part 2^8)
Weekend update: Who really did write the CRT-evolution paper then?
So we know we can't defeat entropy; but what about overplotting????
Cognitive reflection and "belief in" evolution: critically engaging the evidence
The science of science documentary filmmaking: the missing audience hypothesis
Perplexed--once more--by "emotions in criminal law," Part 3: Motivated reasoning & the evaluative conception
Fall seminar: Law & Cognition
Vaccine hesitancy, acupuncture mania, and the methodological challenge of making senses of "boutique risk-benefit perceptions" (BRBPs)
*Now* what do alternative sanctions mean? And how'd I miss the memo?
Cognitive dualism as an adaptive resource in a polluted science communication environment ... a fragment
Weekend update: going to SENCER summer camp to learn about the "self-measurement paradox," the "science communication problem," & the "disentanglement project"
On "best practices," "how to" manuals, and *genuinely* evidence-based science communication
Perplexed--once more--by "emotions in criminal law," Part 2: The "evaluative conception"
Perplexed--once more--by "emotions in criminal law": Part 1
Changing my mind on "emotions in criminal law"
Weekend update: Still fooled by non-randomness? Some gadgets to help you *see* the " 'hot hand' fallacy" fallacy
Two threats to the public-health good of childhood vaccines ... a fragment
Holy smokes! The "'hot-hand fallacy' fallacy"!
Three points about "believing in" evolution ... a travel report
In Montreal, asking philosophers (& others) to help make sense of Pakistani Drs & Kentucky Farmers
Ambivalence about "messaging"
For the 10^6 time: GM foods is *not* polarizing issue in the U.S., plus an initial note on Pew's latest analysis of its "public-vs.-scientists" survey
Two publics, two modes of reasoning, two forms of information in science communication: a fragment . . .
Self-deception at L'université Toulouse: an encore!
On the provisionality & conjectural status of claims about Pakistani Drs & Kentucky Farmers
Travel report: Self-deception at L'université Toulouse
MAPKIA #73 part IV: Revenge of the disgust skeptics! Does *disgust* really play any role in vaccine & GM-food risk perceptions?
MAPKIA! episode 73 sequel: Scholars who genuinely know something explain disgust's contribution to vaccine & GM food risk perceptions
"Politically Motivated Reasoning Paradigm" (PMRP): what it is, how to measure it
*See* "cognitive reflection" *magnify* (ideologically symmetric) motivated reasoning ... (not for faint of heart)
Against "consensus messaging" . . .
A Pigovian tax solution (for now) for review/publication of studies that use M Turk samples
Back in the US ... back in the US ... back in the US of Societal Risk conflict
MAPKIA! Episode #73 Results: Stunning lack of any meaningful relationship between vaccine- and GM-food-risk perceptions earns @Mw record-breaking 5th straight MAPKIA! title!
Build it & they will model ... the CCP data playground concept
Weekend update: In quest of 3d graphic for risk perception distributions
APS conference panels: What should I talk about? I can't decide!
MAPKIA! Episode #73: half-time update!
MAPKIA! Episode #73: What is the meaning, if any, of the correlation between vaccine- and GM-food-risk perceptions?!
"Politics & Science Webinar" Q&A: vaccine- & GM food-risk perceptions
Want to represent Kentucky Farmer in Congress? Well then you better learn to keep track of which "climate changes" he "believes in" and which he "doesn't"!
Two remarkably different Jewish intellectuals & their two very different formulations of the "Jewish Question"
Science of Science Communication as "evidence based politics"--a fragment . . .
Another country heard from: more data on impact of 'expert judgment' in insulating judges from popular information-processing biases
The "judicial behavior" measurement problem: What does it *mean* to say that "ideology" explains judicial decisions?
Fun webinar event on politicization of science-- c'mon, sign up!
If you think local action focused on adaptation is not the path for promoting engagement with climate-change policymaking at the national level, you are wrong. So wrong.
We are *all* Pakistani Drs/Kentucky Farmers, Part 2: Kant's perspective(s)
We are *all* Pakistani Drs/Kentucky Farmers, Part 1: Manny's perspective(s)
Science of Science Communication 2.0, Session 11.2: Wilner questions "consensus messaging" pedagogy for climate-science education along with her own previous views on teaching students to "believe in," not just comprehend, evolution...
The law's "neutrality communication problem"
Revisiting "cultural cognition as a conception of the cultural theory of risk"
*Look* at my data: Graphic data postcards from " 'Ideology' or 'Situation Sense' "
The making of a Pakistani Veterinarian in Kentucky: cognitive apartheid vs. cognitive dualism
Special feature: Insights on S. Ct. prediction models from someone who knows what he is talking about
Univ. of Colorado deja vu! (sort of): c'mon down & hear about what the "science of science communication" has to say about the "science communication problem"
A question to be answered at the very beginning of an "acceptance of evolution" research program
Science of Science Communication 2.0, Session 14: science documentaries!!!!
"Cognitive dualism" research program: a fragment ...
Weekend update: Science of Science Communication 2.0 -- Tamar Wilner confronts the "belief-comprehension" question in teaching evolutionary science
Science of Science Communication 2.0, Session 12: science journalism!
Using likelihood ratios -- not pee values -- to weigh the evidence on judges & motivated reasoning
Why it is a *mistake* to draw inferences about the (in domain) reasoning of experts from studies of motivated reasoning on the part of the general public
So are humans very good at designing computer programs to predict Supreme Court decisions? You tell me!
"It's Hayek ... wait; it's Honey Boo Boo ... no, it's ... wtf!": cultural cognition "black-blue dress/Einstein-Monroe" worldview assessment tool!
Weekend update: "Communicating normality"--a fragment
C'mon down! Talking about judges, climate scientists & motivated reasoning today at U. Colo.
"They saw a statutory ambiguity"--judges & motivated reasoning
Science of Science Communication 2.0, Session 11.1: Teaching science in a polluted science communication environment, part 2 -- Climate
Are judges politically biased? New paper, new study, new methods, new body piercings--new new new!
Weekend update: Science of Science Communication 2.0 -- anticipating synthetic biology
Pakistani Dr & Kentucky Farmer cause uprising of agitated reflection at Annenberg Center!
Science of Science Communication 2.0, Session 10.1: Teaching science in a polluted science communication environment, part I -- Evolution
On self-deception & motivated reasoning: Who is fooling whom?
"You -- talking to me? Are *you* talking to *me?" Actually, no, I'm not; the data don't tell us how any individual thinks (or that your side is either "biased" or "right").
Science of Science Communication 2.0, Session 9.1: Emerging technologies part II -- synthetic biology!
Professional judgment--in risk perception & in law: Dual process reasoning and science communication part 3...
What can we learn from (a) studying public perceptions of the risks of technologies the public hasn't heard of & (b) studying studies that do that?
Is "shaming" an effective way to counteract biased information processing? A preliminary investigation
Science of Science Communication 2.0, Session 8.1: Emerging technologies part I
Weekend update: Science of Science Communication 2.0: on CRED "how to" manual & more on 97% messaging
"the strongest evidence to date" on effect of "97% consensus" messaging
Science of Science Communication 2.0, Session 7.1: communicating climate science part 2
Some other places to to find discussion
Weekend update: Hard questions, incomplete answers, on the "disentanglement principle"
"Measurement Problem" published but still unsolved
On becoming part of a polluted science communication environment while studying it....
Science of Science Communication 2.0, Session 6.1: Communicating climate science, part 1
"Let's shame them!": part and parcel of the dangerous seat-of-the-pants, evidence-free style of risk communication we are using to protect universal vaccination in US
Turbulence and shifting gusts of hot air: the forecast for perceptions of "scientific consensus" in response to NAS geoengineering reports
"What is the 'science of science communication'?" (new paper)
Science of Science Communication 2.0, Session 5.1: the (mis)communication of vaccine-risk perception
Let it be? Measuring partisan reactions to existing mandatory vaccination laws
What does Christie know that the rest of us don't? My guess is nothing (or even less that that actually)
What do polluted & nonpolluted science communication environments *look* like? & how about childhood vaccines?....
Science of Science Communication 2.0, Session 4.1: Trust in/of science
Weekend update: Pew's disappointing use of invalid survey methods on GM food risk perceptions
Grading the 2015 version of Pew study of public attitudes toward science
Science of Science Communication 2.0, Session 3.1: Science comprehension: who knows what about what—and how?
There is pervasive cultural consensus on the value of childhood vaccines in the U.S.; so why do people *think* that being anti-vaccine reflects any particular cultural predisposition?
Weekend update: Are GM foods toxic for the science communication environment? Vice versa? (video lecture & slides)
Should we care about the public's *climate science* literacy? What is "ordinary climate science intelligence" *for*?
Science of Science Communication 2.0, Session 2.1: What is science literacy? And what is it for?
What does & doesn't count as valid evidence of "ideologically motivated reasoning" & "symmetry" of the same
Weekend update: More on HPV vaccine disaster (Science of Science Communication 2.0, Session 1)
National Academy Conference on Science Communication & GMOs
Science of Science Communication 2.0, Session 1.1: The HPV Vaccine Disaster
The "disentanglement research program": a fragment
So you want to meet the 'Pakistani Dr'? Just pay a visit to the Kentucky Farmer
"Science of Science Communication" course, version 2.0
Humans using statistical models are embarrassingly bad at predicting Supreme Court decisions....
"...but that just doesn't happen!..." Or: "Who is the 'Pakistani Dr' now?"--a fragment on the professional judgment of law professors
More on Hameed's "Pakistani Dr" -- "explaining contradictory beliefs" begs the question
What “bodycams” can and can’t be expected to do. . . plus coolest study of the year
"Anyone who doesn't agree must be a Marxist!" Plus "bans," "decibans," & Turing & Good on "evidentiary weight"
Why expect people to *know* evolution? A question that deserves a good answer
We need a CRT 2.0! And IRT should be used to develop it
Weekend update: More on the wisdom of SE Fla's *political science* of climate change
Project disentanglement ... a fragment
CCP's "Evidence-based Science Communication Initiative" (EBSCI)
On (confused, confusing) "belief-fact" distinction -- a fragment
Distrust of "trust in science" measures--crisis solved?
Group conflict and risk perceptions: two accounts
Liberals trust in Supreme Court plummets! Less than 25% of them would agree to have Steve Breyer housesit for them when they want on vacation!e
Don't make free, reasoning people choose between learning posterior predictive model checking & *being who they are*!
"Conservatives lose faith in science over last 40 years"--where do you see *that* in the data?
Weekend update: Does marching around in costumes help overcome cultural polarization? Comparative data might help answer this Q
Weekend update: Decisive proof of "conservative distrust in science"? You tell me...
ICT eats RAT & CAT for breakfast: More (and more data on) religiosity, political predispositions, and "anti-science"
What accounts for public conflict over science--religiosity or political predispositions? Here are some data: you declare the winner in this RAT vs. CAT fight!
Weekend update: cognitive illiberalism--what is it? & what does it have to do with the Constitution?
"Religion, not political predispositions or political elite discourse, generates conflict over science" Seriously?!!!
Still more on the concept/value of a "science of science journalism"
How *cognitive* adaptation relates to mitigating a polluted science communication environment
"A science of science journalism & filmmaking" vs. "Throw strikes & keep 'em off the bases" (lecture synopsis & slides)
"Who am I? Why am I here?" My (ongoing) trip to West Point
More discussion of SPBMC ...
What comes first--misinformation or the motivation to believe it? Some reflections on study design
Unconfounding knowledge from cultural identity--as big a challenge for measuring the climate-science literacy of middle schoolers as grown ups
New paper: "Laws of cognition, cognition of law"
What I believe about teaching "belief in" evolution & climate change
Weekend update: New paper on why "affirmative consent" (in addition to being old news) does not mean "only 'yes' means yes"
What happens to Pat's perceptions of climate change risks as his/her science literacy score goes up?
Why the science of science communication needs to go back to highschool (& college; punctuated with visits to museum & science film-making studio)
Are military investigators culturally predisposed to see "consent" in acquaintance rape cases?
Date-rape debate deja vu: the script is 20 yrs out of date
Weekend update: Who sees what & why in acquaintance rape cases?
The more you know, the more you ... Climate change vs. GM foods
Will a "knowing disbeliever" be the next President (or at least Republican nominee)?
Weekend update: geoengineering and the expanding confabulation frontier of the "climate communication" debate
How should science museums communicate climate science? (lecture summary & slides)
Weekend update: Another helping of evidence on what "believers" & "disbelievers" do & don't "know" about climate science
Weekend update: Some research on climate literacy to check out
Teaching how to teach Bayes's Theorem (& covariance recognition) -- in less than 2 blog posts!
Political psychology according to Krugman: A degenerative research programme if ever I saw one ...
"Krugman's 'magic motivated reasoning mirror' show"-- I've stopped watching but not trying to learn from reflective people who still are
"Is politically motivated reasoning rational?" A fragment ...
What's to explain? Kulkarni on "knowing disbelief"
Democracy & the science communication environment (video lecture)
Lewandowsky on "knowing disbelief"
Weekend update: "Knowing disbelief in evolution"-- a fragment
Weekend update: "Culture is prior to fact" & what that implies about resolving political conflict over risk
For what it's worth: breaking down "belief in" GW vs. "belief in" AGW as function of partisanship & OCSI
Conditional probability is hard -- but teaching it *shouldn't* be!
"What exactly is going on in their heads?" (And in mine?) Explaining "knowing disbelief" of climate change
I ♥ Item Response Theory -- and you can too!
Don't even think of going there: the "whose is bigger" question on climate science literacy
Cross-cultural cultural cognition road trip: Australia
What would a *valid* measure of climate-science literacy reveal? Guy et al., Effects of knowledge & ideology part 2
Does "climate science literacy trump ideology" in Australia? Not as far as I can tell! Guy et al., Effects of knowledge & ideology part 1
Scaling up the SENCER solution to the "self-measurement paradox"
How would scientists do on a public "science literacy" test -- and should we care? Stocklmayer & Bryant vs. NSF Indicators “Science literacy” scale part 2
Undertheorized and unvalidated: Stocklmayer & Bryant vs. NSF Indicators “Science literacy” scale part I
How to achieve "operational validity"? Translation Science!
Constructing an "Ordinary climate science intelligence" assessment: a fragment ...
Measuring "ordinary science intelligence": a look under the hood of OSI_2.0
"Bounded rationality": the Grigori Rasputin of explanations for public perceptions of climate change risk
Five theses on climate science communication (lecture summary & slides)
3 kinds of validity: Internal, external & operational
Climate science literacy, critical reasoning, and independent thinking ...
Are judges biased? Or is everyone else? Some conjectures
Weekend update: Debate heats up on impact of melting north pole on sea level rise!
Scientific dissensus on effect of melting "north pole ice cap"?
What SE Florida can teach us about the *political* science of climate change
New paper: "Climate Science Communication and the Measurement Problem"
What’s that hiding behind the poll? Perceiving public perceptions of biotechnology
They've already gotten the memo! What the public (Rs & Ds) think "climate scientists believe"
Authors: to assure no one can read your articles, publish in a Taylor & Francis journal!
Response: An “externally-valid” approach to consensus messaging
WSMD? JA! How confident should we be that what one "believes" about global warming, on 1 hand, and political outlooks, on other, measure the same *one* thing?
What is the *message* of real-world "scientific consensus" messaging? Ruminations on the external validity of climate-science-communication studies, part 3
"Messaging" scientific consensus: ruminations on the external validity of climate-science-communication studies, part 2
External validity of climate-science-communication studies: ruminations part 1
"Resolved: Climate change is not a 'crisis'": Using cultural cognition research in high school ecology class
Got facts? The boring, ignorant, anti-liberal, science-communication-environment polluting "who is more anti-science" game
Critical thinking about public opinion on climate change
Weekend update: You'd have to be science illiterate to think "belief in evolution" measures science literacy
What is to be done? Let's start with why ... a fragment
More on public "trust of scientists": *You* tell *me* what it means!
The "generalizability problem" -- a fragment
"Energy future 2030" talk (slides, video)
Some "pathological" public risk perceptions & a whole bunch of "normal" ones
So much for that theory . . . (fracking freaks me out #2)
What to think about how "How You Say It" — an empirical study of aporetic judicial reasoning
The fractal nature of the "knowledge deficit" hypothesis: Biases & heuristics, system 1 & 2, and cultural cognition
Science and public policy: Who distrusts whom about what?
Still more evidence of my preternatural ability to change people's minds: my refutation of Krugman's critique of Klein's article convinces Klein that Krugman's critique was right
What you "believe" about climate change doesn't reflect what you know; it expresses *who you are*
No, I don't think "cultural cognition is a bad thing"; I think a *polluted science communication environment* is & we should be using genuine evidence-based field communication to address the problem
Want to improve climate-science communication (I mean really, seriously)? Stop telling just-so stories & conducting "messaging" experiments on MTurk workers & female NYU undergraduates & use genuine evidence-based methods in field settings instead
Vaccine risk perceptions and risk communication: study conclusions & recommendations
More on "Krugman's symmetry proof": it's not whether one gets the answer right or wrong but how one reasons that counts
Finally: decisive, knock-down, irrefutable proof of the ideological symmetry of motivated reasoning
Are Ludwicks more common in the UK?!
Cognitive illiberalism & expressive overdetermination ... a fragment
Let's keep discussing Ludwick!
MAPKIA! Episode 49: Where is Ludwick?! Or what *type* of person is worried about climate change but not about nuclear power or GM foods?
I ♥ NCAR/UCAR--because they *genuinely* ♥ communicating science (plus lecture slides & video)
The sources of evidence-free science communication practices--a fragment...
Science comprehension ("OSI") is a culturally random variable -- and don't let anyone experiencing motivated reasoning tell you otherwise!
Fracking freaks me out
Who fears what & why? Trust but verify!
If you think GM food & vaccine risk perceptions have any connection to the "climate change risk perception" family, think again
Q. Where do cultural predispositions come from in the cultural cognition theory? A. They are exogenous -- descriptivey & *normatively*!
Developing effective vaccine-risk communication strategies: *Definitely* measure, but measure what *counts*
A nice empirical study of vaccine risk communication--and an unfortunate, empirically uninformed reaction to it
Geoengineering the science communication environment: the cultural plasticity of climate change risks part II
Shockingly sad news . . .
Geoengineering & the cultural plasticity of climate change risk perceptions: Part I
Three models of risk perception -- & their significance for self-government . . .
Democracy and the science communication environment (lecture synopsis and slides)
Don't be a science miscommunicator's dope (or dodo)
Culture, rationality, and the tragedy of the science communications commons (lecture synopsis and slides)
"Motivated Numeracy": What's the Point? (lecture synopsis, slides)
Cross-cultural cultural cognition road trip
Science journalists: Ask not what the science of science communication can do for you . . .
Want to know what empirically *informed* vaccine risk communication looks like?
The culturally polarizing effect of the "anti-science trope" on vaccine risk perceptions
How are climate skepticism, disbelief in evolution & vaccine hesitancy related?
The logic of reciprocity--and the illogic of empirically uninformed vaccine risk communication
Who fears childhood vaccines and why? Research report & project
MAPKIA! Episode 31 "Answer": culturally programmed risk predispositions alert to "fracking" but say "enh" (pretty much) to GM foods
MAPKIA! Episode 31: what is the relationship between "environmental risk perception" predispositions, science comprehension & perceptions of the risks of (a) fracking & (b) GM foods?!
Secular cultural trends punctuated by noisy, emotional peaks & valleys: surveying the psychology landscape of mass opinion, mass shootings, & gun control
More on Pew's evolution survey & valid inferences about polarization
What sorts of inferences can/can't be drawn from the "Republican shift" (now that we have enough information to answer the question)?
Weekend update: Non-replication of "asymmetry thesis" experiment
Have Republicans changed views on evolution? Or have creationists changed party? Pew's (half-released) numbers don't add up ...
"Clueless bumblers": Explaining the "noise" in a polluted science communication environment...
Can someone explain my noise, please?
Wastebook honorable mentions: more "federally funded" CCP blog posts!
Not very reflective tea-party/Republicans
What is a "cultural style"? And some thoughts about convergent validity
The value of civic science literacy
MAPKIA "answers" episode2: There is no meaningful cultural conflict over vaccine risks, & the tea party doesn't look very "libertarian" to me!
MAPKIA! extra credit question
MAPKIA! episode 2: what do alpha, beta, gamma & delta think about childhood vaccine risks? And where's the tea party?!
Why cultural predispositions matter & how to measure them: a fragment ...
What does a valid climate-change risk-perception measure *look* like?
Who needs to know what from whom about climate science
Religiosity in the Liberal Republic of Science: a subversive disposition or just another manifestation of the pluralism that makes scientific knowledge possible?
MAPKIA! "answer" episode 1: The interaction effect of religion & science comprehension on perceptions of climate change risk
MAPKIA! episode 1: religiosity, science comprehension & climate change
Don't select on the dependent variable in studying the science communication problem
WSMD? JA! How different are tea party members' views from those of other Republicans on climate change?
Evidence based science communication ... a fragment
A snapshot of the "white male effect" -- i.e., "white male hierarch individualist effect" -- on climate change
We aren't polarized on GM foods-- no matter what the result in Washington state
Is this how motivated innumeracy happens?...
What is "cultural cognition"? I'll show you... (Slides)
Mitigation & adaptation: Two remedies for a polluted science communication environment
Culture, rationality, and science communication (video)
Communicating the normality/banality of climate science (lecture slides)
Are "moderates" less affected by politically motivated reasoning? Either "yes by definition," or "maybe, depending on what you mean exactly"
Congratulations, tea party members: You are just as vulnerable to politically biased misinterpretation of science as everyone else! Is fixing this threat to our Republic part of your program?
Cognitive Illiberalism Lecture at Penn State Dickinson School of Law (slides)
Lecture on Science of Science Communication at Penn State (lecture slides)
Some data on education, religiosity, ideology, and science comprehension
A fragment: The concept of the science commmunication environment
Mooney's revenge?! Is there "asymmetry" in Motivated Numeracy?
Knowledge is not scary; being *afraid to know* is
Well, things are going slowly in the kitchen, so here's another "vaccine risk perception" appetizer -- on the house
Busy lately but tomorrow -- lots of data on vaccine risk perceptions
"So what?" vs. "You tell me!"
Cultural cognition and "in group" dynamics: informational vs. social effects
The quality of the science communication environment and the vitality of reason
Motivated Numeracy (new paper)!
The NRA's "expressive-rope-a-dope-trick"
Science and the craft norms of science journalism, Part 2: Making craft norms evidence based
Science and the craft norms of science journalism, Part 1: What Gelman says
What do alternative sanctions mean *now*?
Who distrusts whom about what in the climate science debate?
So what is "the best available scientific evidence" anyway?
What "climate skeptics" have in common with "believers": a stubborn attraction to evidence-free, just-so stories about the formation of public risk perceptions
Partisan Media Are Not Destroying America
More on disgust: Both liberals and conservatives *feel* it, but what contribution is it really making to their moral appraisals?
Homework assignment: what's the relationship between science literacy & persistent political conflict over decision-relevant science?
Can we SENCERize the communication of science?
Weekend update: Yale professor does *what*, you say?
Motivated system 2 reasoning--experimental evidence & its significance for explaining political polarization
Weekend update 2: Money talks, bullshit on scientific consensus (including lack thereof) walks
Weekend update: The distracting, counterproductive "97% consensus" debate grinds on
Dual process reasoning, Liberalism, & disgust
"Integrated & reciprocal": Dual process reasoning and science communication part 2
Is Disgust a Uniquely "Conservative" Moral Emotion?
"System 1" and "System 2" are intuitively appealing but don't make sense on reflection: Dual process reasoning & science communication part 1
A measured view of what can be validly measured with M Turk samples
Proof of ideologically motivated reasoning--strong vs. weak
Let's keep discussing M Turk sample validity
Fooled twice, shame on who? Problems with Mechanical Turk study samples, part 2
What's a "valid" sample? Problems with Mechanical Turk study samples, part 1
No one is afraid but we can still learn a lot from studying nanotechnology risk perceptions
Does communicating research on public polarization polarize the public?
Decisive strike in the "asymmetry" debate?!
UK Environment Secretary Owen Paterson wants a "constructive, well informed and evidence-led" public discussion on GM foods. Any advice?
How religiosity and science literacy interact: Evolution & science literacy part 2
What does "disbelief" in evolution *mean*? What does "belief" in it *measure*? Evolution & science literacy part 1
Science literacy & cultural polarization: it doesn't happen *just* with global warming, but it also doesn't happen for *all* risks. Why?
Coin toss reveals that 56% (+/- 3%, 0.95 LC) of quarters support NSA's "metadata" monitoring policy! Or why it is absurd to assign significance to survey findings that "x% of American public" thinks y about policy z
What are fearless white hierarchical individualist males afraid of? Lots of stuff!
Five theses on science communication: the public and decision-relevant science, part 2
"Public comprehension of science--believe it or not!": the public and decision-relevant science, part 1
Polarization on policy-relevant science is not the norm (the "silent denominator" problem)
The impact of "science consensus" surveys -- a graphic presentation
Now, getting back to disgust: we've done guns & drones; what about *vaccines*?
Money talks, & without the bias of cultural cognition: so why not listen?
More market consensus on climate change: 97% of insurance companies agree (& hedge funds too!)
On the science communication value of communicating "scientific consensus": an exchange
Cultural resistance to the science of science communication
What is to be done?
More conversation -- & an announcment of my commitment to the same
Annual "new study" finds 97% of climate scientists believe in man-made climate change; public consensus sure to follow once news gets out
Motivated reasoning & its cognates
Bolsen, Druckman & Cook working paper addresses critical issue in Science of #Scicom: What triggers public conflict over policy-relevant science?
Is disgust "conservative"? Not in a Liberal society (or likely anywhere else)
More on "cultural availability" & the Crickett... Ignored stories of "defensive use" (by children wielding the "Crickett" no less!)
Who is disgusted by kids' "toy" guns & drones, and why?
Who sees accidental shootings of children as evidence in support of gun control & why? The "cultural availability" effect
Even *more* Q & A on "cultural cognition scales" -- measuring "latent dispositions" & the Dake alternative
Deja voodoo: the puzzling reemergence of invalid neuroscience methods in the study of "Democrat" & "Republican Brains"
Look, everybody: more Time-Sharing Experiments for the Social Sciences (TESS)!
"Yes we can--with more technology!" A more hopeful narrative on climate?
How many times do I have to explain?! "Facts" aren't enough, but that doesn't mean anyone is "lying"!
More US science literary data -- from Pew (an organization that definitely knows how to study US science attitudes)
"The qualified immunity bar is not set that low..."
Still more Q & A on "cultural cognition scales" -- and on the theory behind & implications of them
"Another country heard from": a German take on cultural cognition
Still more on the political sensitivity of model recalibration
Some Q & A on the "cultural cognition scales"
What should science communicators communicate about sea level rise?
A scholarly rejoinder to the Economist article
Is ideologically motivated reasoning rational? And do only conservatives engage in it?
More on the political sensitivity of communicating the significance of climate model recalibration
The equivalence of the "science communication" and "judicial neutrality communication" problems
"A sensitive matter" indeed! The science communication risks of climate model recalibration
Question: Who is more disposed to motivated reasoning on climate change -- hierarchical individualists or egalitarian communitarians? Answer: Both!
Is the culturally polarizing effect of science literacy on climate change risk perceptions related to the "white male effect"? Does the answer tell us anything about the "asymmetry thesis"?!
Who *are* these guys? Cultural cognition profiling, part 2
Who *are* these guys? Cultural cognition profiling, part 1
Effective graphic presentation of climate-change risk information? (Science of science communication course exercise)
The relationship of LR ≠1J concept to "adversarial collaboration" & "replication" initiatives
Likelihood Ratio ≠ 1 Journal (LR ≠1J)
"How did this happen in the first place?"
I'm happy to be *proven* wrong -- all I care about is (a) proof & (b) getting it right
More "class discussion"
Why can't we all get along on climate change? (Science of Science Communication course, session 4)
Much scarier than nanotechnology, part 2
"Tragedy of the Science-Communication Commons" (lecture summary, slides)
Marschack Lecture at UCLA on Friday March 8
Informed civic engagement and the cognitive climate
How common is it to notice & worry about the influence of cultural cognition on what one knows? If one is worried, what should one do?
Check out Jen Briselli's cool pilot study of cultural cognition of vaccine risk perceptions
Dear Seth Mnookin & other great science journalists
Six modest points about vaccine-risk communication
What is the evidence that an "anti-vaccination movement" is "causing" epidemics of childhood diseases in US? ("HFC! CYPHIMU?" Episode No. 2)
What sort of vice is overstatement?
Is A. Gelman trying to provoke me, or is that just my narcissism speaking?
The false and tedious "defective brain" meme
Local adaptation & field testing the science of science communication
On science communication & the job of the scientist: a thoughtful response from a scientist
The two-channel strategy/model for satisfying the public's appetite to know what is known by science
Is it plausible that higher cognitive reflection (system 2) increases polarization
Terrorism, climate change, and surprise
Evidence-based Climate Science Communication (new paper!)
The declining authority of science? (Science of Science Communication course, Session 3)
Yet another installment of: "I only *study* science communication ..."
Another installment of: "I only study science communication -- I didn't say I could do it!"
Cultural cognition & cat-risk perceptions: Who sees what & why?
Groping the political economy elephant ...
Respond to commentary day
What would I advise climate science communicators?
Measuring "Ordinary Science Intelligence" (Science of Science Communication Course, Session 2)
Intense battle for "I [heart] Popper/Citizen of the Liberal Republic of Science" t-shirt
Does the cultural affinity of a group's members contribute to the group's collective intelligence?
What is the "political economy forecast" for a carbon tax? What are the benefits of such a policy for containing c